The Statistical Severe Convective Risk Assessment Model
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
The Statistical Severe Convective Risk Assessment Model
This study introduces a system that objectively assesses severe thunderstormnowcast probabilities based on hourly mesoscale data across the contiguous United States during the period from 2006 to 2014. Previous studies have evaluated the diagnostic utility of parameters in characterizing severe thunderstorm environments. In contrast, the present study merges cloud-to-ground lightning flash data...
متن کاملStatistical Induction, Severe Testing, and Model Validation
A number of important methodological issues in statistical modeling and inference depend crucially on the notion of statistical induction adopted. An attempt is made to articulate the notion of statistical induction underlying modern frequentist inference going back to Fisher (1922). The paper brings out the differences in the nature of inductive inference associated with estimation and predict...
متن کاملagricultural drought risk assessment model for kermanshah province, using statistical and intelligent methods
the agriculture sector has been affected by severe drought in recent years, making development of a drought warning system for agriculture crucial. such a system can be a useful tool for policy makers and investors. this research develops a model for agricultural drought risk assessment using statistical and intelligent methods. kermanshah province, a major rain-fed region of iran, was selected...
متن کاملStatistical Issues in Ecological Risk Assessment
Ecological risk assessment (ERA) is concerned with making decisions about the natural environment under uncertainty. Statistical methodology provides a natural framework for risk characterization and manipulation with many quantitative ERAs relying heavily on Neyman-Pearson hypothesis testing and other frequentist modes of inference. Bayesian statistical methods are becoming increasingly popula...
متن کاملRisk assessment of severe tricyclic antidepressant overdose.
Prognostic factors for severe complications in tricyclic antidepressant (TCA) overdose remain unclear. We therefore evaluated the value of clinical characteristics and electrocardiograph (ECG) parameters to predict serious events (seizures, arrhythmia, death) in severe TCA overdose of 100 patients using logistic regression models for risk assessment. The overall fatality rate was 6%, arrhythmia...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Weather and Forecasting
سال: 2016
ISSN: 0882-8156,1520-0434
DOI: 10.1175/waf-d-16-0004.1